The Best is Yet to Be, Or Not to Be?
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In 2009, the Australian government announced an ambitious project to provide super-fast fiber-based Internet to 93% of the population; in 2013, it revised the plan to reuse existing copper wire; in 2025, many Australians still have no (or slow) Internet. First promise big things, then revise the promise to make them little things, then don’t finish them anyway. This isn’t (we hope) a description of the World Scholar’s Cup curriculum release process, but a pattern of behavior for governments all over the world. Discuss with your team: is it better to under promise and over deliver, or vice versa?
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Don’t worry, Australia—you’re not alone. (More on loneliness later.) In Canada, a proposed high-speed rail network had its target speed slashed before being rebranded as a high frequency network. In many developed countries, ambitious projects have gone out of fashion in favor of slow, incremental ones. Check out the mega projects below, as well as those from your own country, then discuss with your team: is this shift in approach justified? How might mega projects (or their failure) affect the way people
perceive progress? And are some countries more consistently successful at these projects?-
Big Dig | Channel Tunnel | California High-Speed Rail
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Sejong City | Hambantota | NEOM | Khazar Islands
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Three Gorges Dam | Hong Kong-Zhuhai Bridge | New Eurasia Land Bridge
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Sometimes social distancing is the problem. In 2023, the World Health Organization declared loneliness a pressing global health threat. Explore how this concern varies around the world, then discuss with your team: do you agree that there is a “loneliness epidemic”—and, if so, how can it be treated?
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Some countries have tried tackling the problem with technology—and none more so than Japan. Explore efforts to “fix” loneliness in Japan and elsewhere, then discuss with your team: are they the sorts of solutions that more societies should adopt? What technologies would you design to achieve the same aims.
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In 2021, the UN Development Programme found that living conditions in 90% of the world's countries had declined for the second year in a row—possibly contributing to declining birth rates. Discuss with your team: is this decline irreversible or will the world’s population begin to boom again? Should we want it to?
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During the COVID pandemic, podcasts exploded in popularity. Their hosts (or at least their subtly-enhanced voices) became many people’s closest friends in a solitary time. Discuss with your team: are podcasts meaningfully different from old-fashioned radio broadcasts in their impact on society, and will their impact continue? In other words, how dated will this bullet seem, ten years from now?)
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Speaking of bullets, the man who eventually assassinated American President James Garfield, Charles Guiteau, was certain they had a close personal connection (which, of course, Garfield never knew about.) The Internet has driven a surge in these one-sided “para-social” relationships. Algorithms on these platforms are designed to boost engagement and view time, even if the content is harmful or raises false hopes. Explore how social media also affects the health of adults and seniors, then discuss with your team: who should be held responsible when an algorithm promotes harmful content? Could you design an algorithm to craft a healthier, happier society—and would it be successful?
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How often do you pick up your phone to check a fact or answer a question during a meal with friends or family? Can you imagine living in a world where things just—stay mysterious, and where you have no idea what is happening a thousand miles away? Researchers have found that the over-saturation of news, especially of negative stories, leads to constant stress and a skewed worldview, especially when they contain violent images and videos. Discuss with your team: to protect people’s mental health, should the government (or others) limit the amount of information we can consume?
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In 2009, the Australian government promised to bring super-fast fiber Internet to 93% of the population. In 2013, they changed the plan to use old copper wires instead. By 2025, many Australians still have slow or no Internet. First, they promise something big. Then, they make it smaller. In the end, they don’t finish it at all. This pattern is common in governments around the world.
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Talk with your team: Is it better to promise less and do more, or the opposite?
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Australia is not alone. (We will talk more about loneliness later.) In Canada, a high-speed train project was changed to a slower one and given a new name. In many developed countries, big projects are becoming less common. Instead, governments prefer slow, step-by-step improvements. Look at the megaprojects below, and think about ones from your country. Then, discuss with your team: Is this change a good idea? How do big projects (or their failure) change how people see progress? Are some countries better at completing these projects?
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Megaprojects:
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Big Dig | Channel Tunnel | California High-Speed Rail
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Sejong City | Hambantota | NEOM | Khazar Islands
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Three Gorges Dam | Hong Kong-Zhuhai Bridge | New Eurasia Land Bridge
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Sometimes, being too far apart is the problem. In 2023, the World Health Organization said loneliness is a major health issue. How serious is this problem in different parts of the world? Discuss with your team: Do you think there is a "loneliness epidemic"? If so, how can we fix it?
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Some countries try to solve loneliness with technology, especially Japan. Explore what Japan and other places are doing, then discuss: Should more countries use these solutions? If you could design a technology to reduce loneliness, what would it be?
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In 2021, the UN Development Programme reported that living conditions got worse in 90% of countries for the second year in a row. Some believe this is one reason birth rates are falling. Discuss with your team: Is this decline permanent, or will population growth start again? Should we want it to?
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During the Covid pandemic, podcasts became more popular than ever. For many people, podcast hosts became close companions in a lonely time. Discuss with your team: Are podcasts different from old-fashioned radio in their impact on society? Will their influence continue? In ten years, will this question even matter?
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Speaking of voices, the man who killed U.S. President James Garfield, Charles Guiteau, believed they had a special relationship—but Garfield had no idea who he was. The Internet has made these kinds of one-sided “parasocial” relationships more common. Social media algorithms are designed to keep people watching, even when the content is harmful or misleading. Look into how social media affects adults and seniors. Then, discuss with your team: Who should be responsible when an algorithm spreads harmful content? Could you design an algorithm to create a healthier, happier society? Would it work?
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How often do you check your phone for answers when eating with family or friends? Imagine living in a world where some things stay unknown, and you don’t always know what is happening far away. Researchers say too much news, especially bad news, can cause stress and make people see the world in a negative way. This is even worse when the news includes violent images and videos. Discuss with your team: To protect mental health, should governments (or others) limit how much information we can see?
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In 2009, the Australian government promised to give fast Internet to 93% of people. In 2013, they changed the plan to use old copper wires. By 2025, many Australians still have slow or no Internet. First, they promise something big. Then, they change it to something smaller. In the end, they don’t finish it. Many governments do the same thing.
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Talk with your team: Is it better to promise less and do more, or promise more and do less?
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Australia is not alone. (We will talk more about loneliness later.) In Canada, a fast train project was changed to a slower one with a new name. In many rich countries, big projects are not as popular. Instead, governments like to make small changes over time. Look at the big projects below and think about ones from your country. Then, discuss with your team: Is this change good or bad? Do big projects (or their failure) change how people see progress? Are some countries better at finishing big projects?
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Big Projects:
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Big Dig | Channel Tunnel | California High-Speed Rail
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Sejong City | Hambantota | NEOM | Khazar Islands
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Three Gorges Dam | Hong Kong-Zhuhai Bridge | New Eurasia Land Bridge
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Sometimes, being alone is the problem. In 2023, the World Health Organization said loneliness is a big health problem. How bad is loneliness in different countries? Discuss with your team: Do you think loneliness is a big problem? If yes, how can we fix it?
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Some countries use technology to help lonely people. Japan has many ideas for this. Look at what Japan and other countries are doing. Then, discuss: Should more countries use these ideas? If you could make a new technology to help lonely people, what would it be?
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In 2021, the UN said life got worse in 90% of countries for two years in a row. Some people think this is why fewer babies are being born. Discuss with your team: Will birth rates stay low, or will people have more babies again? Should we want more people in the world?
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During Covid, podcasts became very popular. For many people, the voices on podcasts felt like friends. Discuss with your team: Are podcasts different from old-style radio? Will podcasts stay popular in the future? In ten years, will this question still be important?
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Speaking of voices, the man who killed U.S. President James Garfield, Charles Guiteau, thought they had a close relationship—but Garfield didn’t even know him. The Internet has made these kinds of one-sided "parasocial" relationships more common. Social media apps use algorithms to keep people watching, even if the content is bad or not true. Look at how social media affects adults and older people. Then, discuss with your team: Who is responsible if an algorithm shows bad content? Could you make an algorithm that helps people be happier? Would it work?
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How often do you check your phone when eating with family or friends? Imagine living in a world where some things stay unknown, and you don’t always know what is happening in other countries. Too much news, especially bad news, can make people feel sad and worried. This is worse when the news shows violent pictures or videos. Discuss with your team: To protect mental health, should governments (or others) limit how much news people can see?
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2009年,澳大利亚政府宣布了一项雄心勃勃的计划,旨在为93%的人口提供超高速光纤互联网;2013年,该计划被修改,改为重用现有的铜线;到了2025年,许多澳大利亚人仍然没有(或只能使用缓慢的)互联网。先承诺宏伟蓝图,然后修改承诺,使其变成小目标,最后还是没能完成。这(我们希望)并不是世界学者杯课程发布过程的写照,而是世界各国政府普遍存在的一种行为模式。请与你的团队讨论:是“少承诺,多兑现”更好,还是相反?
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别担心,澳大利亚——你并不孤单。(关于孤独,我们稍后再谈。)在加拿大,一项拟建的高速铁路网络在正式推出前就已将目标速度下调,最终更名为“高频铁路”网络。在许多发达国家,雄心勃勃的项目已失去流行,取而代之的是缓慢、渐进式的发展。请查看以下的大型项目,以及你所在国家的大型项目,然后与你的团队讨论:这种转变是否合理?大型项目(或它们的失败)会如何影响人们对社会进步的看法?又有哪些国家在这类项目上更常取得成功?
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大掘进计划(Big Dig) | 英法海底隧道(Channel Tunnel) | 加州高铁(California High-Speed Rail)
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世宗市(Sejong City) | 汉班托塔港(Hambantota) | NEOM未来城(NEOM) | 里海人工群岛(Khazar Islands)
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三峡大坝(Three Gorges Dam) | 港珠澳大桥(Hong Kong-Zhuhai Bridge) | 新欧亚大陆桥(New Eurasia Land Bridge)
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有时,社交距离才是问题所在。2023年,世界卫生组织宣布孤独感是一项紧迫的全球健康威胁。请探索这一问题在世界各地的不同表现方式,并与你的团队讨论:你是否认为存在“孤独流行病”?如果是,该如何解决?
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一些国家尝试用科技解决这一问题——其中最具代表性的便是日本。请探索日本及其他国家为“修复”孤独感所做的努力,并与你的团队讨论:这些解决方案值得更多社会借鉴吗?如果要设计新技术来实现同样的目标,你会如何做?
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2021年,联合国开发计划署发现,全球90%的国家的生活水平连续第二年下降,这可能导致出生率下降。请与你的团队讨论:这一下降是否不可逆转,还是世界人口将再次迎来繁荣?我们应不应该期待人口增长?
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新冠疫情期间,播客的流行度激增。许多播客主持人(或者至少是他们经过优化的声音)成了人们在孤独时期最亲密的“朋友”。请与你的团队讨论:播客在社会影响上是否与传统广播有本质区别?它们的影响是否会持续?换句话说,十年后,这个话题是否会显得过时?
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说到“话题”,刺杀美国总统詹姆斯·加菲尔德的刺客查尔斯·吉托(Charles Guiteau)坚信他们之间存在紧密的个人联系(尽管加菲尔德对此一无所知)。互联网的兴起催生了大量这种单向的“拟社会”关系。社交媒体平台的算法被设计成最大化用户的参与度和观看时间,即便内容可能有害或制造虚假希望。请探索社交媒体对成年人和老年人健康的影响,并与你的团队讨论:当算法推广有害内容时,谁应该对此负责?你能否设计一种算法来促进更健康、更幸福的社会?它会成功吗?
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吃饭时,你会多频繁地拿起手机查阅事实或解答问题?你能想象生活在一个信息仍然神秘莫测的世界里,不知道千里之外发生的事情吗?研究人员发现,信息过载,尤其是负面新闻的泛滥,会导致持续的压力和对世界的扭曲认知,特别是当新闻包含暴力图像和视频时。请与你的团队讨论:为了保护人们的心理健康,政府(或其他机构)是否应该限制我们可以获取的信息量?